HYPOTHETICAL DATA · FEES EXCLUDED

Same Best Ask, Different Depth: A $100 Order-Book Cost Example

Compare two hypothetical order books with a $0.50 best ask. Reproduce the share count, average price and slippage for a $100 budget.

DIRECT ANSWER

The short answer

Compare two hypothetical order books with a $0.50 best ask. Reproduce the share count, average price and slippage for a $100 budget. All numerical observations in this case are hypothetical teaching data. The example separates reproducible arithmetic from assumptions about live execution, synchronized feeds or future market outcomes.

Evidence boundary: official documentation establishes platform mechanics and source behavior; calculations, examples and interpretations are PolyCerno Research analysis. They do not guarantee an outcome or profit.

Primary referencesPolymarket: prices and order book
WORKING DEFINITIONS

Terms used in this guide

Average price
Total modeled cost divided by total modeled shares, excluding fees.
Slippage
Average price divided by the best supplied ask, minus one, expressed as a percentage.
Depth shortfall
The portion of the requested budget unsupported by any supplied ask level in the model.

What this example establishes

This is a constructed teaching example, not a historical Polymarket round, live quote or observed trade. It holds budget and best ask constant while varying depth. The book mechanics are grounded in the linked official documentation; the numbers and calculation are our own.

Hypothetical comparison: a $100 budget buys 200 shares in the deep book and 180 in the thin book, excluding fees.
Hypothetical comparison: a $100 budget buys 200 shares in the deep book and 180 in the thin book, excluding fees. Link to this figure · Download image

The complete input books

Hypothetical asks; price in dollars per share
BookAsk priceAvailable sharesLevel cost
Deep$0.50200$100
Thin, first level$0.50100$50
Thin, second level$0.62580$50

Both budgets are $100. Prices and quantities remain fixed during the calculation. There are no additional levels, fees, minimum sizes or rounding constraints in the model.

Reproduce the calculation

Deep: 100 / 0.50 = 200 shares, with an average of $0.50. Thin: 50 / 0.50 + 50 / 0.625 = 180 shares, with an average of 100 / 180 = $0.555555… . Slippage against $0.50 is 0% and 11.1111…%, respectively. Slippage is a relative percentage here, not percentage points.

Open the calculator: its default thin-book input matches this case. Choose “Deep book” for the comparison, or “Insufficient depth” to use a $120 budget and see $20 left unfilled.

What the example cannot establish

It does not predict a market outcome or prove that any real order would receive these fills. Fees, quote changes, queue behavior, execution constraints and cancellation can change a real result. More shares at a lower average entry price do not establish profitability.

Continue with the depth and slippage guide and timestamp alignment.

Sources and further reading

Article updated . Source interfaces and market rules can change; verify the current market before relying on a field. Teaching numbers are constructed examples; source facts and calculations should be read separately.

  1. Polymarket: prices and order book
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